Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+44.3%
€10,000 →
€14,431
Win Rate
71.4%
10W / 4L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.04%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+48.09%
▼ -3.78
Win Rate
71.4%
▼ -0.03
Sharpe
10.06
▼ -10.06
Alpha vs B&H
+33.17pp
▼ -33.17
Max DD
-3.18%
▼ -1.86
Avg DD
-4.34%
▲ +4.34
Risk / Reward
15.12×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+44.31%
Win Rate
71.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.04%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+51.41%
▼ -7.10
Win Rate
69.6%
▲ +1.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-4.75%
▼ -0.29
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
23
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
-6.4
8
+2.6
9
—
10
+9.4
11
+8.0
12
+1.3
13
—
14
—
15
-0.6
16
—
17
—
18
+7.6
19
—
20
—
21
+5.5
22
—
23
+5.8
24
—
25
+3.0
26
—
27
-0.1
28
—
29
+2.2
30
+1.1
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +44.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 71.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.29% on 11 trades, WR 73%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 72.7% +3.29% +41.31% 20h
BULL 3 66.7% +1.06% +3.19% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.06 $0.05 -6.36% SIDEWAYS 6h
07 Apr 2025 19:00 08 Apr 2025 03:00 $0.06 $0.06 +2.55% SIDEWAYS 9h
08 Apr 2025 20:00 10 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.06 $0.06 +9.36% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
10 Apr 2025 15:00 11 Apr 2025 15:00 $0.06 $0.07 +7.96% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Apr 2025 04:00 12 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.07 $0.07 +1.25% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Apr 2025 03:00 15 Apr 2025 05:00 $0.07 $0.06 -0.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 13:00 18 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.06 $0.07 +7.61% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
20 Apr 2025 07:00 21 Apr 2025 04:00 $0.07 $0.07 +5.66% SIDEWAYS 22h
21 Apr 2025 19:00 21 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.07 $0.07 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Apr 2025 10:00 23 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.07 $0.07 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 24h
24 Apr 2025 01:00 25 Apr 2025 23:00 $0.07 $0.07 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 2d
26 Apr 2025 12:00 27 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.07 $0.07 -0.14% BULL 14h
28 Apr 2025 00:00 29 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.07 $0.07 +2.19% BULL 1.1d
29 Apr 2025 23:00 30 Apr 2025 10:00 $0.07 $0.07 +1.12% BULL 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
71.4% Win Rate +44.3% Return -5.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees