Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+29.0%
€10,000 →
€12,895
Win Rate
85.7%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.18%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+48.47%
▼ -19.52
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +5.70
Sharpe
7.24
▼ -7.24
Alpha vs B&H
+53.96pp
▼ -53.96
Max DD
-1.37%
▼ -3.81
Avg DD
-2.57%
▲ +2.57
Risk / Reward
35.27×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+28.95%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.18%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+39.17%
▼ -10.22
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -8.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.86%
▼ -4.32
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+1.8
3
+1.2
4
—
5
+3.5
6
+3.5
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+2.3
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
+2.5
15
—
16
-1.6
17
—
18
—
19
+0.5
20
+1.7
21
—
22
-1.4
23
—
24
+8.6
25
—
26
-1.2
27
—
28
+0.3
29
+0.7
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +29.0%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.08% on 4 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 9 88.9% +1.29% +12.15% 15h
SIDEWAYS 4 50.0% +2.08% +8.24% 1.1d
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +2.51% +2.51% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 11:00 02 Jun 2025 09:00 $0.05 $0.06 +1.80% BULL 23h
02 Jun 2025 22:00 03 Jun 2025 07:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.17% BULL 10h
05 Jun 2025 06:00 05 Jun 2025 13:00 $0.05 $0.06 +3.49% BULL 8h
06 Jun 2025 02:00 06 Jun 2025 21:00 $0.05 $0.06 +3.53% BULL 20h
07 Jun 2025 10:00 10 Jun 2025 06:00 $0.06 $0.06 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 2.9d
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 01:00 $0.05 $0.06 +2.51% BUBBLE 1d
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 04:00 $0.06 $0.06 -1.61% BULL 1.1d
19 Jun 2025 06:00 19 Jun 2025 12:00 $0.05 $0.06 +0.50% BULL 7h
20 Jun 2025 03:00 20 Jun 2025 12:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.73% BULL 10h
22 Jun 2025 17:00 22 Jun 2025 19:00 $0.05 $0.05 -1.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Jun 2025 08:00 24 Jun 2025 04:00 $0.05 $0.06 +8.56% SIDEWAYS 21h
26 Jun 2025 01:00 26 Jun 2025 16:00 $0.05 $0.05 -1.15% SIDEWAYS 16h
27 Jun 2025 18:00 28 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.05 $0.05 +0.34% BULL 7h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 29 Jun 2025 20:00 $0.05 $0.05 +0.69% BULL 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
85.7% Win Rate +29.0% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees