Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+70.9%
€10,000 →
€17,086
Win Rate
100.0%
12W / 0L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.08%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+60.89%
▲ +9.97
Win Rate
86.7%
▲ +13.33
Sharpe
13.61
▼ -13.61
Alpha vs B&H
+57.05pp
▼ -57.05
Max DD
-0.58%
▼ -2.50
Avg DD
-2.73%
▲ +2.73
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+70.86%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.08%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+43.60%
▲ +27.26
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +20.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.46%
▼ -2.62
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+11.7
12
+6.9
13
—
14
+2.8
15
—
16
+7.4
17
—
18
+4.9
19
+1.4
20
—
21
+4.2
22
—
23
+1.7
24
—
25
—
26
+10.1
27
+1.1
28
—
29
+1.0
30
—
31
+1.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +70.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.56% on 12 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 100.0% +4.56% +69.65% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 11 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.05 $0.06 +11.68% BUBBLE 5.5d
12 Jul 2025 03:00 12 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.06 $0.06 +6.92% BUBBLE 12h
13 Jul 2025 06:00 14 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.06 $0.06 +2.76% BUBBLE 23h
15 Jul 2025 08:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.06 $0.06 +7.36% BUBBLE 1.4d
17 Jul 2025 16:00 18 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.06 $0.06 +4.92% BUBBLE 15h
19 Jul 2025 01:00 19 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.40% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.06 $0.06 +4.16% BUBBLE 1.6d
22 Jul 2025 09:00 23 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.70% BUBBLE 16h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 26 Jul 2025 11:00 $0.06 $0.06 +10.08% BUBBLE 2.3d
27 Jul 2025 02:00 27 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.06% BUBBLE 21h
29 Jul 2025 02:00 29 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.06 $0.06 +0.99% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 11:00 31 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.71% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +70.9% Return -3.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees