Paper Trades / POL / POL — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+63.5%
€10,000 →
€16,347
Win Rate
93.8%
13W / 1L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.01%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+56.35%
▲ +7.12
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +0.94
Sharpe
12.06
▼ -12.06
Alpha vs B&H
+85.50pp
▼ -85.50
Max DD
-0.41%
▼ -3.60
Avg DD
-3.36%
▲ +3.36
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+63.47%
Win Rate
93.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.01%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+35.43%
▲ +28.04
Win Rate
87.5%
▲ +6.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.23%
▼ -3.78
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+24.4
5
+3.9
6
—
7
+5.7
8
—
9
+2.8
10
—
11
+7.5
12
—
13
+6.2
14
—
15
+2.0
16
+2.5
17
+0.9
18
—
19
+1.9
20
—
21
+0.8
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
—
26
+4.7
27
+3.6
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +63.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.27% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 92.3% +3.27% +51.45% 21h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +24.35% +24.35% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.27 $0.34 +24.35% BUBBLE 24h
04 Feb 2025 20:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.31 $0.32 +3.86% SIDEWAYS 18h
06 Feb 2025 17:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.30 $0.32 +5.71% SIDEWAYS 22h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.30 $0.31 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 24h
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.30 $0.33 +7.46% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.31 $0.33 +6.20% SIDEWAYS 1d
13 Feb 2025 15:00 15 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.32 $0.33 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
15 Feb 2025 17:00 15 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.32 $0.32 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.32 $0.33 +2.52% SIDEWAYS 16h
17 Feb 2025 08:00 17 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.32 $0.33 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 19 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.29 $0.30 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
20 Feb 2025 07:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.30 $0.30 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 19h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.27 $0.28 +4.70% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Feb 2025 00:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
93.8% Win Rate +63.5% Return -4.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees