Paper Trades / POL / POL — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+37.1%
€10,000 →
€13,706
Win Rate
76.5%
13W / 4L
Trades
17
Sharpe
8.84
Alpha vs B&H
+59.29pp
Risk / Reward
11.14×
B&H Return
-22.23%
Max Drawdown
-3.33%
Avg Drawdown
-5.59%
Sharpe Trend
+8.89
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+37.06%
Win Rate
76.5%
Sharpe
8.84
Alpha vs B&H
+59.29pp
Max DD
-3.33%
Avg DD
-5.59%
Risk / Reward
11.14×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+33.23%
▲ +3.83
Win Rate
73.0%
▲ +3.47
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.84
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +59.29
Max DD
-7.26%
▲ +3.93
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+54.04%
▼ -16.98
Win Rate
88.9%
▼ -12.43
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.84
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +59.29
Max DD
-0.23%
▼ -3.10
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+1.0
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+0.2
10
+1.6
11
—
12
—
13
-3.3
14
—
15
—
16
+11.9
17
-2.1
18
—
19
+7.7
20
+3.6
21
+1.8
22
—
23
+0.8
24
—
25
+0.7
26
—
27
+3.2
28
—
29
+1.5
30
+4.9
31
+0.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +37.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 76.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.10% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 92.3% +2.10% +30.59% 8h
BULL 4 25.0% +1.66% +5.94% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.95% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.20% BUBBLE 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.62% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 -3.33% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +13.05% BULL 2.4d
$0.00 $0.00 -1.03% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.05% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.65% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.80% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.10% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.84% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.78% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.72% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.16% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.48% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.88% BUBBLE 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.32% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
76.5% Win Rate +37.1% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees