Paper Trades / POL / POL — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+52.4%
€10,000 →
€15,242
Win Rate
68.1%
12W / 4L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.56%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+52.24%
▲ +0.18
Win Rate
75.0%
▼ -6.90
Sharpe
10.15
▼ -10.15
Alpha vs B&H
+79.90pp
▼ -79.90
Max DD
-2.28%
▼ -3.28
Avg DD
-3.45%
▲ +3.45
Risk / Reward
22.90×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+52.42%
Win Rate
68.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.56%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+40.22%
▲ +12.20
Win Rate
81.3%
▼ -13.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.41%
▼ -4.15
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+8.7
3
—
4
+1.3
5
+3.4
6
—
7
+0.3
8
—
9
+1.7
10
-0.2
11
—
12
+6.4
13
—
14
—
15
+4.3
16
—
17
+3.3
18
—
19
+4.9
20
-0.5
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+6.1
25
—
26
+9.1
27
0.0
28
—
29
—
30
-2.3
31
+0.8
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +52.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 68.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +4.49% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 69.2% +2.59% +38.58% 22h
BEAR 3 100.0% +4.49% +13.92% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 08:00 02 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.28 $0.30 +8.72% BEAR 9h
04 Mar 2025 02:00 04 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.24 $0.25 +1.32% BEAR 4h
04 Mar 2025 18:00 05 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.25 $0.26 +3.42% BEAR 1.2d
06 Mar 2025 19:00 07 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 16h
08 Mar 2025 10:00 09 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 16h
10 Mar 2025 00:00 10 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.22 $0.22 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.20 $0.22 +6.39% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
13 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.21 $0.22 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Mar 2025 19:00 17 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 19h
18 Mar 2025 12:00 19 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.21 $0.22 +4.86% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Mar 2025 19:00 20 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.55% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 11:00 24 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.21 $0.22 +6.09% SIDEWAYS 3.4d
25 Mar 2025 09:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.22 $0.24 +9.05% SIDEWAYS 22h
26 Mar 2025 19:00 27 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.23 $0.24 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.21 $0.20 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 15h
31 Mar 2025 09:00 31 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.20 $0.20 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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68.1% Win Rate +52.4% Return -5.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees