Paper Trades / POL / POL — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+42.3%
€10,000 →
€14,230
Win Rate
66.7%
8W / 4L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.43%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+45.68%
▼ -3.38
Win Rate
75.0%
▼ -8.30
Sharpe
9.69
▼ -9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+19.08pp
▼ -19.08
Max DD
-5.03%
▼ -1.40
Avg DD
-5.86%
▲ +5.86
Risk / Reward
9.08×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+42.30%
Win Rate
66.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.43%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+62.63%
▼ -20.33
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -17.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.31%
▼ -6.12
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
-10.1
8
+0.6
9
—
10
+10.7
11
+1.6
12
+2.5
13
—
14
—
15
-1.6
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+4.4
22
-1.8
23
-0.8
24
+12.7
25
—
26
+1.3
27
—
28
+5.0
29
—
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +42.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 66.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.13% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 60.0% +1.82% +17.63% 16h
BULL 2 100.0% +3.13% +6.32% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.17 $0.15 -10.07% SIDEWAYS 6h
07 Apr 2025 19:00 08 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.17 $0.17 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 Apr 2025 00:00 10 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.17 $0.19 +10.68% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
10 Apr 2025 14:00 11 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.57% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Apr 2025 10:00 12 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.18 $0.19 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 11h
15 Apr 2025 21:00 15 Apr 2025 23:00 $0.18 $0.18 -1.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Apr 2025 04:00 21 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.19 $0.20 +4.39% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
22 Apr 2025 10:00 22 Apr 2025 12:00 $0.22 $0.22 -1.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Apr 2025 03:00 23 Apr 2025 05:00 $0.22 $0.22 -0.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Apr 2025 01:00 24 Apr 2025 23:00 $0.22 $0.25 +12.66% SIDEWAYS 23h
25 Apr 2025 14:00 26 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.25 $0.25 +1.25% BULL 13h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.01% BULL 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
66.7% Win Rate +42.3% Return -6.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees