Paper Trades / POL / POL — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+59.1%
€10,000 →
€15,907
Win Rate
92.9%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.16%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+60.70%
▼ -1.63
Win Rate
92.3%
▲ +0.59
Sharpe
14.43
▼ -14.43
Alpha vs B&H
+67.78pp
▼ -67.78
Max DD
-0.11%
▼ -3.05
Avg DD
-3.03%
▲ +3.03
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+59.07%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.16%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+36.29%
▲ +22.78
Win Rate
66.7%
▲ +26.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.64%
▼ -1.52
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+18.9
10
—
11
+4.8
12
+1.4
13
—
14
+5.3
15
—
16
+2.6
17
+0.8
18
+4.7
19
+0.4
20
—
21
—
22
+8.7
23
—
24
+1.0
25
-0.1
26
+3.5
27
—
28
—
29
+1.8
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +59.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.61% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +6.61% +36.55% 1.4d
BUBBLE 8 87.5% +2.59% +22.34% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 17:00 09 May 2025 14:00 $0.21 $0.25 +18.94% BULL 2.9d
10 May 2025 03:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $0.26 $0.27 +4.76% BULL 24h
11 May 2025 15:00 12 May 2025 14:00 $0.26 $0.26 +1.42% BULL 24h
13 May 2025 03:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.24 $0.26 +5.33% BULL 24h
15 May 2025 10:00 16 May 2025 12:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.59% BULL 1.1d
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.80% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.65% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 13:00 19 May 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.45% BUBBLE 3h
20 May 2025 10:00 22 May 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.25 +8.65% BUBBLE 2.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.98% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.11% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 11:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.50% BUBBLE 20h
28 May 2025 17:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.79% BUBBLE 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +59.1% Return -3.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees