Paper Trades / POL / POL — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+89.3%
€10,000 →
€18,931
Win Rate
91.7%
11W / 1L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.55%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+93.01%
▼ -3.70
Win Rate
91.7%
▲ +0.03
Sharpe
15.86
▼ -15.86
Alpha vs B&H
+80.32pp
▼ -80.32
Max DD
-0.33%
▼ -3.22
Avg DD
-3.14%
▲ +3.14
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+89.31%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.55%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+49.51%
▲ +39.80
Win Rate
78.6%
▲ +13.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.92%
▼ -2.63
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+1.1
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+20.0
12
+2.8
13
—
14
+9.7
15
—
16
+4.5
17
—
18
+6.9
19
—
20
—
21
+7.1
22
+0.3
23
-0.3
24
+5.9
25
—
26
—
27
+4.7
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+2.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +89.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +5.43% on 12 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 91.7% +5.43% +86.01% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.07% BUBBLE 1.6d
08 Jul 2025 09:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.19 $0.22 +20.03% BUBBLE 2.7d
11 Jul 2025 22:00 12 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.23 $0.23 +2.79% BUBBLE 10h
12 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.22 $0.24 +9.66% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.46% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 06:00 18 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.89% BUBBLE 23h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.08% BUBBLE 1.3d
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.27% BUBBLE 3h
22 Jul 2025 20:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.25 $0.25 -0.33% BUBBLE 6h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.23 +5.89% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jul 2025 04:00 27 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.69% BUBBLE 2.6d
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.22 $0.22 +2.69% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
91.7% Win Rate +89.3% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees