Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ SHIB Signals →

SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+34.8%
€10,000 →
€13,479
Win Rate
88.9%
16W / 2L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.06%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
16W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+39.43%
▼ -4.64
Win Rate
94.4%
▼ -5.54
Sharpe
9.96
▼ -9.96
Alpha vs B&H
+61.52pp
▼ -61.52
Max DD
-0.41%
▼ -4.65
Avg DD
-3.99%
▲ +3.99
Risk / Reward
96.40×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+34.79%
Win Rate
88.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.06%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
V2.5.8.3
Return
+25.13%
▲ +9.66
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +13.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.47%
▼ -4.59
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.4%
18t
 		+43.9%
12t
 		+85.2%
14t
 		+53.6%
10t
 		+70.8%
15t
 		+29.7%
8t
 		+88.4%
14t
 		+55.2%
16t
—
—
—
—
 +3,597.5%

All months for SHIB under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.6
6
+0.7
7
—
8
-0.4
9
+1.3
10
—
11
+2.0
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+3.7
16
0.0
17
+6.7
18
+0.9
19
+2.8
20
+4.0
21
+3.2
22
—
23
+0.8
24
+0.8
25
+0.3
26
—
27
—
28
+6.9
29
+0.9
30
—
31
+0.5
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +34.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.11% on 4 trades, WR 75%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 92.9% +1.67% +25.84% 10h
BULL 4 75.0% +3.11% +12.90% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 13:00 05 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.56% BUBBLE 11h
06 Jan 2025 12:00 06 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.67% BUBBLE 4h
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 22:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.27% BUBBLE 19h
10 Jan 2025 08:00 11 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.03% BULL 1.7d
13 Jan 2025 13:00 15 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.73% BULL 2d
16 Jan 2025 00:00 16 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.05% BULL 7h
17 Jan 2025 03:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.73% BULL 20h
18 Jan 2025 17:00 18 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.92% BUBBLE 3h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.81% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.03% BUBBLE 5h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.22% BUBBLE 12h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.84% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jan 2025 07:00 24 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.83% BUBBLE 8h
25 Jan 2025 10:00 25 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.29% BUBBLE 3h
27 Jan 2025 07:00 28 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.93% BUBBLE 23h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.94% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jan 2025 02:00 31 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.51% BUBBLE 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → SHIB Signals → View Plans →
88.9% Win Rate +34.8% Return -5.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees