Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

SHIB — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.04%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+70.84%
▲ +9.29
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -1.63
Sharpe
13.68
▼ -13.68
Alpha vs B&H
+71.74pp
▼ -71.74
Max DD
-0.97%
▼ -8.07
Avg DD
-6.49%
▲ +6.49
Risk / Reward
73.12×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+80.13%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.04%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+42.27%
▲ +37.86
Win Rate
72.2%
▲ +19.50
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.55%
▼ -4.49
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.4%
18t
+43.9%
12t
+85.2%
14t
+53.6%
10t
+70.8%
15t
+29.7%
8t
+88.4%
14t
+55.2%
16t
+3,597.5%

All months for SHIB under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — SHIB — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+0.1
6
7
8
9
+23.9
10
11
+7.3
12
13
14
+3.9
15
16
17
+1.0
18
+2.7
19
20
+4.1
21
22
23
+7.8
24
+0.7
25
+0.7
26
+4.2
27
28
29
+3.6
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +80.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.05% on 5 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 80.0% +7.05% +38.25% 1.2d
BUBBLE 8 100.0% +3.11% +27.47% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 02:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.06% BULL 7h
06 May 2025 12:00 09 May 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +23.93% BULL 3d
09 May 2025 23:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.33% BULL 1.2d
11 May 2025 17:00 11 May 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.97% BULL 7h
12 May 2025 19:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.92% BULL 1.3d
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.99% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.71% BUBBLE 17h
19 May 2025 07:00 20 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.11% BUBBLE 20h
20 May 2025 15:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.79% BUBBLE 2.4d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.70% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.71% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.19% BUBBLE 16h
28 May 2025 15:00 29 May 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.64% BUBBLE 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +80.1% Return -9.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees