Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

SHIB — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.74%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+88.40%
▼ -2.44
Win Rate
78.6%
▲ +0.03
Sharpe
16.18
▼ -16.18
Alpha vs B&H
+80.41pp
▼ -80.41
Max DD
-0.69%
▼ -2.05
Avg DD
-2.68%
▲ +2.68
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+85.96%
Win Rate
78.6%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.74%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+52.44%
▲ +33.52
Win Rate
63.2%
▲ +15.40
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.46%
▼ -2.28
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.4%
18t
+43.9%
12t
+85.2%
14t
+53.6%
10t
+70.8%
15t
+29.7%
8t
+88.4%
14t
+55.2%
16t
+3,597.5%

All months for SHIB under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — SHIB — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+3.6
8
9
10
11
+15.5
12
0.0
13
14
+6.7
15
16
+10.8
17
18
+9.5
19
+2.2
20
21
+4.6
22
+0.9
23
-0.5
24
+3.5
25
26
+5.9
27
28
-0.7
29
30
31
+2.7
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +86.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 78.6%.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.7%.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.63% on 14 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 78.6% +4.63% +86.00% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.61% BUBBLE 1d
07 Jul 2025 15:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +15.53% BUBBLE 3.5d
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.04% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.72% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.76% BUBBLE 1.8d
17 Jul 2025 17:00 18 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.45% BUBBLE 14h
18 Jul 2025 19:00 19 Jul 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.24% BUBBLE 16h
20 Jul 2025 04:00 21 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.61% BUBBLE 1.2d
22 Jul 2025 09:00 22 Jul 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.92% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jul 2025 00:00 23 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.47% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.53% BUBBLE 11h
25 Jul 2025 05:00 26 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.90% BUBBLE 1.2d
27 Jul 2025 10:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.69% BUBBLE 16h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.72% BUBBLE 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

78.6% Win Rate +86.0% Return -2.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees