Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XLM Stellar Paper Trade

XLM — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+94.8%
€10,000 →
€19,475
Win Rate
92.9%
15W / 1L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.21%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+94.09%
▲ +0.66
Win Rate
94.4%
▼ -1.54
Sharpe
12.63
▼ -12.63
Alpha vs B&H
+101.35pp
▼ -101.35
Max DD
-2.11%
▼ -3.10
Avg DD
-4.44%
▲ +4.44
Risk / Reward
44.69×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+94.75%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.21%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.49%
▲ +27.26
Win Rate
71.4%
▲ +21.50
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.54%
▼ -3.67
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XLM

XLM Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +94.1%
18t
 		+55.4%
17t
 		+34.8%
15t
 		+52.9%
13t
 		+52.0%
12t
 		+19.3%
10t
 		+117.0%
20t
 		+63.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +3,904.3%

All months for XLM under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XLM — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+4.7
7
+1.2
8
+1.0
9
+3.2
10
+5.7
11
+9.0
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+17.8
16
+2.8
17
+0.1
18
—
19
+0.4
20
+3.8
21
+3.6
22
—
23
—
24
+6.4
25
—
26
—
27
-4.2
28
+1.2
29
—
30
+10.1
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +94.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.40% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 91.7% +3.08% +42.96% 13h
BULL 4 100.0% +7.40% +32.01% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 06 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.44 $0.46 +4.65% BUBBLE 1.2d
07 Jan 2025 03:00 07 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.44 $0.45 +1.23% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 10:00 $0.42 $0.43 +0.95% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.40 $0.41 +3.19% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 10 Jan 2025 20:00 $0.40 $0.42 +5.74% BUBBLE 16h
11 Jan 2025 09:00 11 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.41 $0.45 +8.98% BULL 15h
13 Jan 2025 09:00 15 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.41 $0.48 +17.77% BULL 2.6d
16 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.79% BULL 7h
17 Jan 2025 16:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.48 $0.49 +0.06% BULL 7h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.46 $0.46 +0.39% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.45 $0.47 +3.81% BUBBLE 7h
21 Jan 2025 06:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.43 $0.45 +3.57% BUBBLE 12h
23 Jan 2025 09:00 24 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.42 $0.45 +6.42% BUBBLE 1.2d
27 Jan 2025 02:00 27 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.39 $0.38 -4.21% BUBBLE 7h
27 Jan 2025 21:00 28 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.17% BUBBLE 15h
29 Jan 2025 15:00 30 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.39 $0.43 +10.06% BUBBLE 1.1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +94.8% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees