Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

XLM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+34.8%
€10,000 →
€13,479
Win Rate
66.7%
10W / 5L
Trades
15
Sharpe
6.83
Alpha vs B&H
+51.06pp
Risk / Reward
12.04×
B&H Return
-16.27%
Max Drawdown
-2.89%
Avg Drawdown
-2.68%
Sharpe Trend
+4.59
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+34.79%
Win Rate
66.7%
Sharpe
6.83
Alpha vs B&H
+51.06pp
Max DD
-2.89%
Avg DD
-2.68%
Risk / Reward
12.04×
Trades
15
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+30.06%
▲ +4.73
Win Rate
46.8%
▲ +19.87
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.83
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +51.06
Max DD
-6.61%
▲ +3.72
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.68
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+49.11%
▼ -14.32
Win Rate
80.0%
▼ -13.33
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.83
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +51.06
Max DD
-0.39%
▼ -2.50
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.68
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XLM

XLM Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +94.1%
18t
 		+55.4%
17t
 		+34.8%
15t
 		+52.9%
13t
 		+52.0%
12t
 		+19.3%
10t
 		+117.0%
20t
 		+63.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +3,904.3%

All months for XLM under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XLM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.9
3
—
4
+5.8
5
+2.2
6
—
7
-1.8
8
—
9
—
10
-0.4
11
+6.6
12
—
13
+4.2
14
-0.5
15
—
16
+1.0
17
+1.3
18
-0.1
19
+7.3
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+5.2
25
+0.2
26
—
27
+0.9
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +34.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 66.7%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.9%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +1.97% on 12 trades, WR 67%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 66.7% +1.97% +25.78% 12h
BEAR 3 66.7% +1.70% +5.00% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.89% BEAR 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.77% BEAR 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.23% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.81% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.45% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.60% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.55% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.27% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.22% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
66.7% Win Rate +34.8% Return -2.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees