Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XLM Stellar Paper Trade

XLM — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+30.1%
€10,000 →
€13,006
Win Rate
46.8%
9W / 4L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.61%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+34.79%
▼ -4.73
Win Rate
66.7%
▼ -19.87
Sharpe
6.83
▼ -6.83
Alpha vs B&H
+51.06pp
▼ -51.06
Max DD
-2.89%
▼ -3.72
Avg DD
-2.68%
▲ +2.68
Risk / Reward
12.04×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+30.06%
Win Rate
46.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.61%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+49.11%
▼ -19.05
Win Rate
80.0%
▼ -33.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.39%
▼ -6.22
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XLM

XLM Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +94.1%
18t
 		+55.4%
17t
 		+34.8%
15t
 		+52.9%
13t
 		+52.0%
12t
 		+19.3%
10t
 		+117.0%
20t
 		+63.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +3,904.3%

All months for XLM under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XLM — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.9
3
—
4
—
5
+3.2
6
—
7
-1.8
8
—
9
—
10
-0.4
11
—
12
+7.2
13
+5.3
14
+0.2
15
—
16
+1.0
17
—
18
-1.1
19
+8.3
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+5.2
25
+0.2
26
—
27
+0.9
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +30.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.27% on 11 trades, WR 73%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 72.7% +2.27% +27.23% 16h
BEAR 2 50.0% +0.13% +0.17% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 11:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.32 $0.31 -2.89% BEAR 4h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 05 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.28 $0.29 +3.15% BEAR 1.2d
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.29 $0.29 -1.81% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Mar 2025 02:00 10 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.27 $0.27 -0.45% SIDEWAYS 9h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.22% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
13 Mar 2025 01:00 13 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.26 $0.28 +5.26% SIDEWAYS 10h
13 Mar 2025 23:00 14 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.27 $0.28 +0.17% SIDEWAYS 4h
16 Mar 2025 12:00 16 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.26 $0.27 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 7h
17 Mar 2025 07:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.27 $0.27 -1.07% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Mar 2025 21:00 19 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.27 $0.29 +8.33% SIDEWAYS 18h
23 Mar 2025 01:00 24 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.28 $0.29 +5.22% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
25 Mar 2025 10:00 25 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 5h
27 Mar 2025 01:00 27 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
46.8% Win Rate +30.1% Return -6.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees