Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XLM Stellar Paper Trade

XLM — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 10 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+47.6%
€10,000 →
€14,761
Win Rate
90.0%
9W / 1L
Trades
10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.54%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+52.04%
▼ -4.43
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +6.67
Sharpe
13.29
▼ -13.29
Alpha vs B&H
+53.88pp
▼ -53.88
Max DD
-1.78%
▼ -1.76
Avg DD
-2.85%
▲ +2.85
Risk / Reward
29.19×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+47.61%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.54%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
V2.5.8.3
Return
+32.36%
▲ +15.25
Win Rate
57.1%
▲ +32.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.22%
▼ -2.32
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XLM

XLM Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +94.1%
18t
 		+55.4%
17t
 		+34.8%
15t
 		+52.9%
13t
 		+52.0%
12t
 		+19.3%
10t
 		+117.0%
20t
 		+63.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +3,904.3%

All months for XLM under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XLM — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+14.9
10
—
11
+3.1
12
+5.6
13
—
14
+3.0
15
-1.8
16
—
17
—
18
+2.8
19
—
20
—
21
—
22
+8.3
23
—
24
+0.6
25
—
26
+2.4
27
—
28
—
29
+0.7
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +47.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.96% on 5 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 80.0% +4.96% +26.51% 1.4d
BUBBLE 5 100.0% +2.95% +15.46% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 01:00 09 May 2025 14:00 $0.26 $0.30 +14.89% BULL 3.6d
10 May 2025 03:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $0.30 $0.31 +3.13% BULL 24h
11 May 2025 16:00 12 May 2025 15:00 $0.30 $0.32 +5.57% BULL 24h
13 May 2025 04:00 14 May 2025 06:00 $0.30 $0.31 +2.97% BULL 1.1d
15 May 2025 15:00 15 May 2025 21:00 $0.30 $0.29 -1.78% BULL 7h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $0.29 $0.30 +2.75% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 05:00 22 May 2025 18:00 $0.28 $0.30 +8.32% BUBBLE 3.6d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 07:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.63% BUBBLE 7h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 01:00 $0.28 $0.29 +2.39% BUBBLE 10h
28 May 2025 16:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $0.28 $0.29 +0.68% BUBBLE 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
90.0% Win Rate +47.6% Return -3.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees