Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+57.3%
€10,000 →
€15,731
Win Rate
100.0%
11W / 0L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.88%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+54.92%
▲ +2.39
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +16.67
Sharpe
11.23
▼ -11.23
Alpha vs B&H
+51.37pp
▼ -51.37
Max DD
-0.41%
▼ -4.47
Avg DD
-3.92%
▲ +3.92
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+57.31%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.88%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+38.46%
▲ +18.85
Win Rate
87.5%
▲ +12.50
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.25%
▼ -4.63
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+3.2
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+14.3
12
—
13
—
14
+6.9
15
—
16
—
17
+4.1
18
+6.2
19
—
20
+1.8
21
—
22
—
23
+0.0
24
+2.7
25
—
26
—
27
+3.8
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+2.9
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +57.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.25% on 10 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +4.25% +50.75% 1.3d
BULL 1 100.0% +3.15% +3.15% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 06 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.15 $0.15 +3.15% BULL 17h
07 Jul 2025 23:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.15 $0.17 +12.74% BUBBLE 3.1d
11 Jul 2025 16:00 11 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.17 $0.17 +1.34% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.16 $0.18 +6.86% BUBBLE 1.7d
15 Jul 2025 03:00 17 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.17 $0.17 +4.09% BUBBLE 2d
17 Jul 2025 17:00 18 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.17 $0.19 +6.20% BUBBLE 21h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.80% BUBBLE 21h
22 Jul 2025 14:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.02% BUBBLE 12h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 10:00 $0.16 $0.17 +2.74% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 27 Jul 2025 11:00 $0.17 $0.17 +3.82% BUBBLE 2.5d
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.16 $0.16 +2.85% BUBBLE 17h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +57.3% Return -4.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees