Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+78.1%
€10,000 →
€17,814
Win Rate
82.4%
14W / 3L
Trades
17
Sharpe
12.57
Alpha vs B&H
+94.95pp
Risk / Reward
22.77×
B&H Return
-16.81%
Max Drawdown
-3.43%
Avg Drawdown
-3.90%
Sharpe Trend
-15.72
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+78.14%
Win Rate
82.4%
Sharpe
12.57
Alpha vs B&H
+94.95pp
Max DD
-3.43%
Avg DD
-3.90%
Risk / Reward
22.77×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+74.73%
▲ +3.41
Win Rate
58.3%
▲ +24.05
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.57
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +94.95
Max DD
-5.62%
▲ +2.19
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.90
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+37.58%
▲ +40.56
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -17.65
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.57
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +94.95
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.43
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.90
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+9.4
3
—
4
-6.3
5
—
6
+5.4
7
+2.1
8
—
9
—
10
+2.6
11
—
12
+13.2
13
—
14
+7.9
15
+0.8
16
—
17
+14.8
18
—
19
+2.3
20
—
21
—
22
+3.9
23
—
24
+4.6
25
—
26
+0.9
27
+0.2
28
—
29
-1.2
30
-2.3
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +78.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 82.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.69% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 86.7% +3.69% +69.55% 19h
BEAR 2 50.0% +1.54% +2.49% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +9.36% BEAR 21h
$0.00 $0.00 -6.28% BEAR 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.44% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.59% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +13.22% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.94% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +14.78% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.94% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.60% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 15h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
82.4% Win Rate +78.1% Return -3.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees