Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
7.51
Alpha vs B&H
+24.41pp
Risk / Reward
6.46×
B&H Return
+9.75%
Max Drawdown
-5.29%
Avg Drawdown
-5.54%
Sharpe Trend
-0.20
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+34.15%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
7.51
Alpha vs B&H
+24.41pp
Max DD
-5.29%
Avg DD
-5.54%
Risk / Reward
6.46×
Trades
12
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+29.46%
▲ +4.69
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +8.37
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.51
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +24.41
Max DD
-5.60%
▲ +0.31
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.54
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+31.55%
▲ +2.60
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -8.33
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.51
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +24.41
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.29
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.54
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
+108.5%
16t
+78.1%
17t
+34.2%
12t
+56.8%
13t
+23.7%
10t
+54.9%
12t
+40.8%
14t
+3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
-10.6
8
+2.8
9
+10.8
10
11
+4.1
12
13
14
+1.1
15
16
17
18
19
+5.6
20
+0.5
21
+2.4
22
23
+4.2
24
+2.0
25
26
+2.8
27
28
29
+2.0
30
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +34.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.43% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +2.29% +23.80% 21h
BULL 2 100.0% +2.43% +4.92% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -10.57% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.81% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.83% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.10% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.58% SIDEWAYS 2.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.47% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.96% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.82% BULL 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.04% BULL 1.4d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +34.2% Return -5.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees