Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+40.6%
€10,000 →
€14,061
Win Rate
78.6%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+71.46pp
Risk / Reward
18.01×
B&H Return
-30.84%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-4.72%
Sharpe Trend
+1.55
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+40.61%
Win Rate
78.6%
Sharpe
7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+71.46pp
Max DD
-2.25%
Avg DD
-4.72%
Risk / Reward
18.01×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+42.00%
▼ -1.39
Win Rate
52.8%
▲ +25.77
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +71.46
Max DD
-7.96%
▲ +5.71
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.72
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+61.44%
▼ -20.83
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -7.13
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +71.46
Max DD
-1.11%
▼ -1.14
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.72
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
—
4
—
5
+6.7
6
—
7
+0.4
8
—
9
—
10
+1.6
11
—
12
+10.2
13
—
14
—
15
+5.1
16
—
17
+5.5
18
-0.2
19
+3.5
20
+0.3
21
—
22
+1.2
23
-1.1
24
—
25
+7.4
26
+1.6
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +40.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 78.6%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.98% on 12 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +2.98% +41.32% 18h
BEAR 2 50.0% +2.25% +4.35% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.75% BEAR 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.23% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.47% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.53% SIDEWAYS 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 -1.05% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.44% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
78.6% Win Rate +40.6% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees