Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+56.8%
€10,000 →
€15,678
Win Rate
61.5%
8W / 5L
Trades
13
Sharpe
11.28
Alpha vs B&H
+56.95pp
Risk / Reward
16.91×
B&H Return
-0.17%
Max Drawdown
-3.36%
Avg Drawdown
-5.98%
Sharpe Trend
-0.91
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+56.78%
Win Rate
61.5%
Sharpe
11.28
Alpha vs B&H
+56.95pp
Max DD
-3.36%
Avg DD
-5.98%
Risk / Reward
16.91×
Trades
13
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+53.91%
▲ +2.87
Win Rate
61.9%
▼ -0.36
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.28
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +56.95
Max DD
-9.79%
▲ +6.43
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.98
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+24.88%
▲ +31.90
Win Rate
80.0%
▼ -18.46
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.28
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +56.95
Max DD
-1.56%
▼ -1.80
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.98
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+1.8
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+22.2
10
-4.6
11
-1.1
12
—
13
+6.0
14
—
15
—
16
-1.4
17
+1.2
18
+5.7
19
—
20
+3.8
21
—
22
+6.2
23
-1.3
24
-0.4
25
—
26
+1.2
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +56.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 61.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.83% on 6 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 50.0% +3.83% +22.80% 1.1d
BUBBLE 7 71.4% +2.36% +17.43% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.84% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +22.19% BULL 3.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -4.58% BULL 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.09% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.03% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -1.39% BULL 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.18% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.74% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.81% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.24% BUBBLE 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 -1.25% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.20% BUBBLE 1.4d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
61.5% Win Rate +56.8% Return -3.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees