Paper Trades / TRUMP / TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

TRUMP Official Trump Paper Trade

TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Official Trump (TRUMP) is a Solana memecoin launched in January 2025 around the US presidential inauguration. Trading history is limited to roughly one cycle, with extreme launch volatility followed by sentiment-driven swings. Price action is dominated by political news, social-media activity, and broader memecoin-rotation flows.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TRUMP Signals →

TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Official Trump (TRUMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+42.5%
€10,000 →
€14,252
Win Rate
70.6%
12W / 5L
Trades
17
Sharpe
6.37
Alpha vs B&H
+42.31pp
Risk / Reward
4.29×
B&H Return
+0.21%
Max Drawdown
-9.92%
Avg Drawdown
-12.64%
Sharpe Trend
-4.34
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+42.52%
Win Rate
70.6%
Sharpe
6.37
Alpha vs B&H
+42.31pp
Max DD
-9.92%
Avg DD
-12.64%
Risk / Reward
4.29×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+37.58%
▲ +4.94
Win Rate
81.2%
▼ -10.61
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.37
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +42.31
Max DD
-20.57%
▲ +10.65
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -12.64
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open v4.0 page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRUMP

TRUMP Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
—
 +0.0%
0t
—
—
 +42.5%
17t
 		+5.6%
15t
 		+37.1%
20t
 		+55.5%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +220.7%

All months for TRUMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
-0.5
5
—
6
-1.1
7
+2.2
8
+10.6
9
—
10
+2.5
11
+0.9
12
—
13
+7.9
14
—
15
—
16
+2.2
17
—
18
+5.4
19
—
20
+14.0
21
—
22
—
23
-9.4
24
-0.6
25
—
26
+0.3
27
+1.6
28
—
29
-0.2
30
+1.0
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +42.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 70.6%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.75% on 9 trades, WR 78%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 9 77.8% +2.75% +26.91% 14h
BUBBLE 8 62.5% +1.51% +11.10% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -0.50% BULL 14h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.12% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.18% BULL 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.64% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.12% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.40% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.94% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.87% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.20% BULL 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.37% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +13.96% BUBBLE 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 -9.40% BUBBLE 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.58% BUBBLE 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.32% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.58% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.16% BUBBLE 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.96% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRUMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Official Trump Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRUMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TRUMP Signals → View Plans →
70.6% Win Rate +42.5% Return -9.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees