Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+183.5%
€10,000 →
€28,348
Win Rate
82.4%
14W / 3L
Trades
17
Sharpe
13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+148.92pp
Risk / Reward
25.26×
B&H Return
+34.56%
Max Drawdown
-7.26%
Avg Drawdown
-7.97%
Sharpe Trend
-0.10
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+183.48%
Win Rate
82.4%
Sharpe
13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+148.92pp
Max DD
-7.26%
Avg DD
-7.97%
Risk / Reward
25.26×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+160.91%
▲ +22.57
Win Rate
88.9%
▼ -6.55
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +148.92
Max DD
-9.37%
▲ +2.11
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -7.97
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+88.04%
▲ +95.44
Win Rate
77.3%
▲ +5.05
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +148.92
Max DD
-3.52%
▼ -3.74
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -7.97
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
22
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+37.1
11
+4.2
12
+9.3
13
+10.8
14
-7.3
15
+6.1
16
—
17
+2.6
18
+1.8
19
—
20
+5.3
21
—
22
+15.6
23
-2.6
24
+2.0
25
—
26
+6.0
27
—
28
+10.3
29
+1.2
30
-2.2
31
+12.4
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +183.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 82.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +10.02% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +10.02% +70.06% 1.0d
BUBBLE 11 81.8% +4.77% +64.37% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +37.09% BULL 4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% BULL 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.25% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.77% BULL 14h
$0.00 $0.00 -7.26% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.12% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.57% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.83% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.29% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +15.59% BUBBLE 2d
$0.00 $0.00 -2.59% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.03% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.01% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.31% BUBBLE 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.18% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.19% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.42% BUBBLE 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
82.4% Win Rate +183.5% Return -7.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees