Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

DOT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.29
Alpha vs B&H
+41.15pp
Risk / Reward
5.43×
B&H Return
-16.92%
Max Drawdown
-4.46%
Avg Drawdown
-3.60%
Sharpe Trend
+16.13
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+24.23%
Win Rate
75.0%
Sharpe
9.29
Alpha vs B&H
+41.15pp
Max DD
-4.46%
Avg DD
-3.60%
Risk / Reward
5.43×
Trades
12
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+20.25%
▲ +3.98
Win Rate
83.3%
▼ -8.30
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.29
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +41.15
Max DD
-5.81%
▲ +1.35
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+12.33%
▲ +11.90
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +75.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.29
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +41.15
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.46
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
+69.8%
15t
+37.5%
16t
+64.5%
9t
+78.9%
13t
+24.2%
12t
+86.1%
12t
+85.2%
12t
+4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
-2.8
3
4
5
6
+1.3
7
8
+1.4
9
10
+3.4
11
-0.4
12
13
14
+1.3
15
16
+3.8
17
18
19
20
+1.7
21
+0.9
22
23
24
+8.5
25
26
27
28
29
+4.7
30
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +24.2%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.26% on 3 trades, WR 100%.
  • Weakest regime: BUBBLE — avg -0.29% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +4.26% +13.18% 1.1d
BULL 6 83.3% +1.69% +10.40% 22h
BUBBLE 3 33.3% -0.29% -0.89% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.75% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.34% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.37% BULL 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.39% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.44% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.33% BUBBLE 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.75% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.70% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.46% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.73% BULL 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

75.0% Win Rate +24.2% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees