Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

LUNA — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
8.83
Alpha vs B&H
+37.38pp
Risk / Reward
12.32×
B&H Return
-13.73%
Max Drawdown
-1.92%
Avg Drawdown
-2.05%
Sharpe Trend
-8.87
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+23.65%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
8.83
Alpha vs B&H
+37.38pp
Max DD
-1.92%
Avg DD
-2.05%
Risk / Reward
12.32×
Trades
10
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+21.67%
▲ +1.98
Win Rate
58.3%
▲ +21.70
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.83
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +37.38
Max DD
-3.09%
▲ +1.17
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.05
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+16.14%
▲ +7.51
Win Rate
90.0%
▼ -10.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.83
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +37.38
Max DD
-2.24%
▲ +0.32
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.05
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
+108.5%
16t
+78.1%
17t
+34.2%
12t
+56.8%
13t
+23.7%
10t
+54.9%
12t
+40.8%
14t
+3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.9
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
+4.1
9
10
+6.3
11
12
13
14
+7.7
15
16
+2.6
17
18
+0.9
19
+0.2
20
21
22
23
24
+9.7
25
26
+0.3
27
28
29
+0.0
30
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +23.7%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.9%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.40% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +5.40% +16.85% 1.1d
BULL 5 80.0% +1.55% +7.94% 23h
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +2.90% +5.65% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -1.92% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.12% BULL 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.25% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.72% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.60% BULL 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.87% BULL 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.17% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.67% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.28% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.00% BULL 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

80.0% Win Rate +23.7% Return -1.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees