Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+60.9%
€10,000 →
€16,089
Win Rate
86.7%
13W / 2L
Trades
15
Sharpe
13.61
Alpha vs B&H
+57.05pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+3.84%
Max Drawdown
-0.58%
Avg Drawdown
-2.73%
Sharpe Trend
-0.59
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+60.89%
Win Rate
86.7%
Sharpe
13.61
Alpha vs B&H
+57.05pp
Max DD
-0.58%
Avg DD
-2.73%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+70.86%
▼ -9.97
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -13.33
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.61
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +57.05
Max DD
-3.08%
▲ +2.50
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.73
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+43.60%
▲ +17.29
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +6.67
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.61
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +57.05
Max DD
-0.46%
▼ -0.12
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.73
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+11.7
12
+0.6
13
-0.6
14
+1.9
15
—
16
+7.4
17
—
18
+4.3
19
+1.4
20
+4.0
21
-0.1
22
—
23
+1.7
24
+3.9
25
—
26
+8.5
27
+1.1
28
—
29
+1.0
30
—
31
+1.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +60.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.6%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.22% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 15 86.7% +3.22% +59.72% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +11.68% BUBBLE 5.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.61% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.58% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.90% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.36% BUBBLE 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.25% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.40% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.00% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.10% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.70% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.86% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.53% BUBBLE 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.06% BUBBLE 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.99% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.71% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
86.7% Win Rate +60.9% Return -0.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees