Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+40.8%
€10,000 →
€14,084
Win Rate
78.6%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
9.97
Alpha vs B&H
+42.29pp
Risk / Reward
86.07×
B&H Return
-1.45%
Max Drawdown
-0.47%
Avg Drawdown
-2.40%
Sharpe Trend
-33.28
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+40.84%
Win Rate
78.6%
Sharpe
9.97
Alpha vs B&H
+42.29pp
Max DD
-0.47%
Avg DD
-2.40%
Risk / Reward
86.07×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+25.19%
▲ +15.65
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -21.43
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.97
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +42.29
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -0.47
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.40
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+1.8
5
—
6
+4.0
7
—
8
+2.4
9
+2.1
10
—
11
—
12
—
13
+4.8
14
—
15
—
16
+4.2
17
—
18
—
19
+1.5
20
—
21
+1.7
22
+9.3
23
—
24
—
25
0.0
26
—
27
+1.9
28
+0.9
29
—
30
—
31
-0.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +40.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 78.6%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.51% on 7 trades, WR 71%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 7 71.4% +2.51% +18.55% 17h
BULL 7 85.7% +2.37% +17.68% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.75% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.00% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.36% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.08% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.76% BULL 2d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.18% BULL 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.49% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.16% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.47% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.26% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.28% SIDEWAYS 2h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
78.6% Win Rate +40.8% Return -0.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees