Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+36.8%
€10,000 →
€13,675
Win Rate
100.0%
11W / 0L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.08%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+39.39%
▼ -2.64
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
15.64
▼ -15.64
Alpha vs B&H
+26.77pp
▼ -26.77
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.08
Avg DD
-1.75%
▲ +1.75
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+36.75%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.08%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+31.48%
▲ +5.27
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.08
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BTC

BTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +41.1%
12t
 		+21.0%
16t
 		+40.4%
14t
 		+39.4%
14t
 		+27.6%
13t
 		+20.3%
12t
 		+20.2%
14t
 		+15.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +613.2%

All months for BTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BTC — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+4.0
8
—
9
+9.4
10
—
11
—
12
—
13
+8.4
14
—
15
+1.5
16
—
17
—
18
+2.0
19
—
20
—
21
—
22
+8.2
23
—
24
+0.1
25
—
26
+2.3
27
+0.0
28
—
29
+1.4
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +36.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.20% on 8 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 8 100.0% +4.20% +38.34% 1.2d
BULL 3 100.0% +1.23% +3.72% 1.4d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 15:00 $75,126.01 $78,479.90 +4.04% SIDEWAYS 9h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 21:00 $76,070.53 $83,284.29 +9.37% SIDEWAYS 21h
10 Apr 2025 17:00 13 Apr 2025 00:00 $79,328.01 $85,495.72 +7.67% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
13 Apr 2025 14:00 13 Apr 2025 17:00 $84,093.22 $84,754.85 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 4h
14 Apr 2025 06:00 15 Apr 2025 09:00 $84,624.21 $85,989.00 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Apr 2025 00:00 18 Apr 2025 01:00 $83,146.01 $84,925.58 +2.04% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 22 Apr 2025 17:00 $84,129.83 $91,396.14 +8.19% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
23 Apr 2025 15:00 24 Apr 2025 00:00 $93,195.28 $93,357.22 +0.07% SIDEWAYS 10h
24 Apr 2025 13:00 26 Apr 2025 01:00 $92,813.83 $95,013.14 +2.27% BULL 1.5d
26 Apr 2025 14:00 27 Apr 2025 02:00 $94,240.01 $94,345.86 +0.01% BULL 13h
27 Apr 2025 16:00 29 Apr 2025 19:00 $93,881.82 $95,300.79 +1.41% BULL 2.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +36.8% Return -2.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees