Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+39.4%
€10,000 →
€13,939
Win Rate
100.0%
14W / 0L
Trades
14
Sharpe
15.64
Alpha vs B&H
+26.77pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+12.62%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-1.75%
Sharpe Trend
+2.17
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+39.39%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
15.64
Alpha vs B&H
+26.77pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-1.75%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+36.75%
▲ +2.64
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.64
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +26.77
Max DD
-2.08%
▲ +2.08
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.75
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+31.48%
▲ +7.91
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.64
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +26.77
Max DD
0.00%
≈
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.75
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BTC

BTC Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +41.1%
12t
 		+21.0%
16t
 		+40.4%
14t
 		+39.4%
14t
 		+27.6%
13t
 		+20.3%
12t
 		+20.2%
14t
 		+15.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +613.2%

All months for BTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BTC — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+4.8
8
—
9
+9.3
10
—
11
—
12
+7.7
13
+0.7
14
+0.8
15
—
16
+2.2
17
—
18
+0.5
19
+1.0
20
—
21
—
22
+8.2
23
—
24
+0.1
25
+2.7
26
—
27
+0.6
28
+1.4
29
+0.2
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +39.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.44% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +3.44% +44.35% 21h
BULL 3 100.0% +0.75% +2.25% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +4.77% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.27% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.69% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.84% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.53% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.19% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.07% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.65% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.57% BULL 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.43% BULL 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.24% BULL 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +39.4% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees