Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 10 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+18.7%
€10,000 →
€11,870
Win Rate
91.7%
9W / 1L
Trades
10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-1.27%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+20.34%
▼ -1.64
Win Rate
91.7%
▲ +0.03
Sharpe
11.23
▼ -11.23
Alpha vs B&H
+18.15pp
▼ -18.15
Max DD
-0.08%
▼ -1.19
Avg DD
-1.06%
▲ +1.06
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+18.70%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.27%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+10.27%
▲ +8.43
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +91.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -1.27
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BTC

BTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +41.1%
12t
 		+21.0%
16t
 		+40.4%
14t
 		+39.4%
14t
 		+27.6%
13t
 		+20.3%
12t
 		+20.2%
14t
 		+15.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +613.2%

All months for BTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BTC — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+0.4
3
+1.0
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+3.5
9
+4.3
10
—
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
+1.3
15
—
16
+2.2
17
—
18
-0.1
19
—
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
+8.4
26
+0.2
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
+0.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +18.7%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.32% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 85.7% +1.72% +12.58% 1.2d
SIDEWAYS 2 100.0% +4.32% +8.66% 1.6d
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +1.28% +1.28% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 02 Jun 2025 02:00 $104,195.12 $105,026.98 +0.39% BULL 1d
02 Jun 2025 15:00 03 Jun 2025 02:00 $104,438.79 $105,612.46 +1.02% BULL 12h
05 Jun 2025 22:00 08 Jun 2025 09:00 $101,502.61 $105,216.37 +3.51% BULL 2.5d
09 Jun 2025 01:00 09 Jun 2025 22:00 $105,527.71 $110,177.28 +4.30% BULL 22h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 06:00 $103,773.65 $105,251.83 +1.28% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 18:00 $105,481.02 $108,255.96 +2.21% BULL 1.7d
18 Jun 2025 01:00 18 Jun 2025 15:00 $104,776.92 $104,801.01 -0.08% BULL 15h
22 Jun 2025 18:00 25 Jun 2025 13:00 $99,437.42 $107,923.21 +8.43% SIDEWAYS 2.8d
26 Jun 2025 14:00 26 Jun 2025 20:00 $107,436.60 $107,766.29 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 02:00 $107,307.48 $108,479.81 +0.68% BULL 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
91.7% Win Rate +18.7% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees