Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ GRT Signals →

GRT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+58.7%
€10,000 →
€15,873
Win Rate
90.0%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.80%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+62.21%
▼ -3.48
Win Rate
92.3%
▼ -2.31
Sharpe
10.16
▼ -10.16
Alpha vs B&H
+88.24pp
▼ -88.24
Max DD
-0.17%
▼ -3.63
Avg DD
-3.57%
▲ +3.57
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+58.73%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.80%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.40%
▼ -8.67
Win Rate
77.8%
▲ +12.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.50%
▼ -3.30
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
 		+110.1%
13t
 		+38.4%
19t
 		+70.1%
13t
 		+134.3%
16t
 		+37.5%
11t
 		+97.6%
15t
 		+74.7%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+1.3
6
—
7
—
8
-0.2
9
+0.8
10
—
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+16.8
17
+3.0
18
—
19
+2.4
20
+3.7
21
—
22
+3.9
23
+0.5
24
+2.1
25
—
26
+2.9
27
—
28
+3.6
29
—
30
—
31
+8.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +58.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.89% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +2.65% +33.07% 16h
BULL 2 100.0% +9.89% +20.28% 1.9d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 13:00 05 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.23 $0.24 +1.33% BUBBLE 6h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.17% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.20 $0.20 +0.77% BUBBLE 4h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.19 $0.22 +16.75% BULL 3.2d
17 Jan 2025 06:00 17 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.02% BULL 12h
19 Jan 2025 09:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.21 $0.21 +2.36% BUBBLE 7h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.20 $0.21 +3.65% BUBBLE 16h
21 Jan 2025 08:00 22 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.20 $0.21 +3.92% BUBBLE 18h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.49% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jan 2025 04:00 24 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.19 $0.19 +2.06% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jan 2025 01:00 26 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.18 $0.19 +2.87% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 Jan 2025 06:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.60% BUBBLE 20h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 31 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.17 $0.18 +8.32% BUBBLE 2.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → GRT Signals → View Plans →
90.0% Win Rate +58.7% Return -3.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees