Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

GRT — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
10.16
Alpha vs B&H
+88.24pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-26.03%
Max Drawdown
-0.17%
Avg Drawdown
-3.57%
Sharpe Trend
-0.39
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+62.21%
Win Rate
92.3%
Sharpe
10.16
Alpha vs B&H
+88.24pp
Max DD
-0.17%
Avg DD
-3.57%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+58.73%
▲ +3.48
Win Rate
90.0%
▲ +2.31
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +10.16
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +88.24
Max DD
-3.80%
▲ +3.63
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.57
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.40%
▼ -5.19
Win Rate
77.8%
▲ +14.51
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +10.16
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +88.24
Max DD
-0.50%
▲ +0.33
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.57
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
+110.1%
13t
+38.4%
19t
+70.1%
13t
+134.3%
16t
+37.5%
11t
+97.6%
15t
+74.7%
10t
+8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+1.3
6
7
8
-0.2
9
+0.8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
+16.6
17
+4.7
18
19
+2.4
20
+3.7
21
22
+3.9
23
+0.5
24
+2.1
25
26
+2.9
27
+4.3
28
29
30
31
+8.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +62.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.2%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +10.65% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +2.72% +33.98% 15h
BULL 2 100.0% +10.65% +22.08% 1.8d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.33% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.17% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.77% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +16.59% BULL 3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.71% BULL 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.36% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.65% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.92% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.49% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.06% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.87% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.31% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.32% BUBBLE 2.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.3% Win Rate +62.2% Return -0.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees