Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

GRT — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
17.32
Alpha vs B&H
+131.51pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+2.74%
Max Drawdown
-1.27%
Avg Drawdown
-5.14%
Sharpe Trend
+2.18
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+134.25%
Win Rate
93.8%
Sharpe
17.32
Alpha vs B&H
+131.51pp
Max DD
-1.27%
Avg DD
-5.14%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+121.76%
▲ +12.49
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +0.85
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +17.32
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +131.51
Max DD
-4.30%
▲ +3.03
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.14
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+50.50%
▲ +83.75
Win Rate
81.3%
▲ +12.45
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +17.32
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +131.51
Max DD
-0.77%
▼ -0.50
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.14
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
+110.1%
13t
+38.4%
19t
+70.1%
13t
+134.3%
16t
+37.5%
11t
+97.6%
15t
+74.7%
10t
+8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+1.2
6
-1.3
7
8
9
10
+32.9
11
12
+3.3
13
14
+9.9
15
+0.5
16
17
+0.4
18
+8.8
19
20
+5.9
21
+5.9
22
23
+3.3
24
+0.7
25
+0.9
26
+8.3
27
+3.9
28
+1.7
29
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +134.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 93.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.74% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +7.74% +51.38% 1.1d
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +3.97% +46.99% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.15% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.27% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +32.86% BULL 3.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.30% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.94% BULL 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.46% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.35% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.82% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.91% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.86% BUBBLE 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.34% BUBBLE 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.68% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.91% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.25% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.90% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.67% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

93.8% Win Rate +134.3% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees