Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

GRT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+138.73pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-28.66%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-3.44%
Sharpe Trend
+2.61
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+110.07%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+138.73pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-3.44%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+94.43%
▲ +15.64
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +7.10
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +138.73
Max DD
-3.71%
▲ +3.71
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.44
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+44.21%
▲ +65.86
Win Rate
76.5%
▲ +23.50
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +138.73
Max DD
-0.80%
▲ +0.80
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.44
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
+110.1%
13t
+38.4%
19t
+70.1%
13t
+134.3%
16t
+37.5%
11t
+97.6%
15t
+74.7%
10t
+8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+23.6
4
+2.4
5
6
7
+4.6
8
9
+6.3
10
+11.9
11
12
+4.4
13
14
+2.8
15
16
17
+6.7
18
19
20
+3.9
21
+3.6
22
+4.8
23
24
25
26
+8.0
27
+7.0
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +110.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.82% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +5.82% +85.68% 22h
BULL 1 100.0% +23.59% +23.59% 21h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +2.42% +2.42% 3h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +23.59% BULL 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.42% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.62% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.31% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +11.91% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.39% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.65% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.59% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.04% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.97% SIDEWAYS 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +110.1% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees