Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ GRT Signals →

GRT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+94.4%
€10,000 →
€19,443
Win Rate
92.9%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.71%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+110.07%
▼ -15.64
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -7.10
Sharpe
18.24
▼ -18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+138.73pp
▼ -138.73
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.71
Avg DD
-3.44%
▲ +3.44
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+94.43%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.71%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+44.21%
▲ +50.22
Win Rate
76.5%
▲ +16.40
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.80%
▼ -2.91
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
 		+110.1%
13t
 		+38.4%
19t
 		+70.1%
13t
 		+134.3%
16t
 		+37.5%
11t
 		+97.6%
15t
 		+74.7%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+20.3
5
—
6
—
7
+6.0
8
—
9
+5.8
10
—
11
+12.3
12
—
13
+5.3
14
+2.8
15
—
16
—
17
+7.1
18
—
19
—
20
+3.9
21
+3.6
22
+4.5
23
—
24
—
25
—
26
+7.3
27
+2.0
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +94.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +10.34% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +5.51% +79.84% 1.0d
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +10.34% +20.29% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.12 $0.15 +22.42% BUBBLE 1d
04 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.14 $0.14 -1.74% BUBBLE 4h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.13 $0.14 +6.01% SIDEWAYS 20h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.13 $0.14 +5.84% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.13 $0.15 +12.32% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.14 $0.15 +5.32% SIDEWAYS 1d
14 Feb 2025 08:00 14 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.14 $0.15 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 10h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 17 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.14 $0.15 +7.09% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.13 $0.13 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
20 Feb 2025 22:00 21 Feb 2025 08:00 $0.14 $0.14 +3.59% SIDEWAYS 11h
21 Feb 2025 21:00 22 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.13 $0.14 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Feb 2025 09:00 26 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.11 $0.12 +7.25% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
27 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.12 $0.13 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → GRT Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +94.4% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees