Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

GRT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.16%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 7L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+38.37%
▼ -4.70
Win Rate
57.9%
▼ -11.89
Sharpe
5.43
▼ -5.43
Alpha vs B&H
+64.56pp
▼ -64.56
Max DD
-2.77%
▼ -3.39
Avg DD
-5.27%
▲ +5.27
Risk / Reward
13.87×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+33.67%
Win Rate
46.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.16%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
V2.5.8.3
Return
+45.18%
▼ -11.51
Win Rate
75.0%
▼ -29.00
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.74%
▼ -5.42
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
+110.1%
13t
+38.4%
19t
+70.1%
13t
+134.3%
16t
+37.5%
11t
+97.6%
15t
+74.7%
10t
+8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
-2.3
3
4
5
6
+7.8
7
-1.2
8
9
10
+3.7
11
12
+8.1
13
+1.8
14
15
+8.8
16
+1.4
17
18
+2.3
19
+5.2
20
-0.2
21
22
+0.7
23
-2.8
24
25
+3.7
26
+1.5
27
-0.8
28
29
30
-0.1
31
-1.1
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +33.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.28% on 17 trades, WR 65%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 17 64.7% +2.28% +45.48% 18h
BEAR 1 0.0% -2.25% -2.25% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.12 $0.12 -2.25% BEAR 13h
04 Mar 2025 10:00 06 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.10 $0.11 +7.82% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 Mar 2025 18:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 12 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.08 $0.09 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
12 Mar 2025 17:00 13 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 15 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.09 $0.10 +8.81% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
16 Mar 2025 12:00 16 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.44% SIDEWAYS 5h
17 Mar 2025 05:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Mar 2025 21:00 19 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.09 $0.10 +5.15% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 09:00 22 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 03:00 23 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 -2.77% SIDEWAYS 14h
24 Mar 2025 05:00 25 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.10 $0.10 +3.70% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Mar 2025 04:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 07:00 27 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 -0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 11h
31 Mar 2025 01:00 31 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.09 $0.09 -1.08% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

46.0% Win Rate +33.7% Return -6.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees