Paper Trades / GRT / GRT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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GRT The Graph Paper Trade

GRT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing and query protocol that powers thousands of dApps and DeFi front-ends. Active since 2020, GRT has full multi-cycle history. Price correlates with DeFi activity, Ethereum ecosystem health, and AI-data narratives given its role in providing structured blockchain data.

GRT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

The Graph (GRT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.30%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+134.25%
▼ -12.49
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -0.85
Sharpe
17.32
▼ -17.32
Alpha vs B&H
+131.51pp
▼ -131.51
Max DD
-1.27%
▼ -3.03
Avg DD
-5.14%
▲ +5.14
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+121.76%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.30%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+50.50%
▲ +71.26
Win Rate
81.3%
▲ +11.60
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.77%
▼ -3.53
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

GRT

GRT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.2%
13t
+110.1%
13t
+38.4%
19t
+70.1%
13t
+134.3%
16t
+37.5%
11t
+97.6%
15t
+74.7%
10t
+8,814.8%

All months for GRT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — GRT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+1.2
6
-1.3
7
8
9
10
+32.9
11
12
+3.5
13
14
+12.5
15
+0.5
16
17
+0.4
18
+5.7
19
20
+5.9
21
+5.9
22
23
+3.3
24
+0.7
25
+0.9
26
+6.8
27
+0.1
28
+1.7
29
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +121.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.19% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +8.19% +55.14% 1.1d
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +3.14% +35.79% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 01:00 05 May 2025 09:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.15% BULL 9h
05 May 2025 22:00 06 May 2025 04:00 $0.09 $0.09 -1.27% BULL 7h
06 May 2025 17:00 10 May 2025 10:00 $0.09 $0.12 +32.86% BULL 3.8d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 12:00 $0.12 $0.12 +3.47% BULL 23h
13 May 2025 01:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.11 $0.13 +12.49% BULL 1.1d
15 May 2025 13:00 15 May 2025 19:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.46% BULL 7h
17 May 2025 13:00 17 May 2025 15:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.35% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 17:00 $0.11 $0.11 +5.72% BUBBLE 16h
19 May 2025 09:00 20 May 2025 02:00 $0.11 $0.11 +5.91% BUBBLE 18h
20 May 2025 15:00 21 May 2025 16:00 $0.11 $0.11 +5.86% BUBBLE 1.1d
22 May 2025 05:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.12 $0.12 +3.34% BUBBLE 20h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.68% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.91% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 12:00 $0.10 $0.11 +6.82% BUBBLE 21h
27 May 2025 08:00 27 May 2025 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.12% BUBBLE 5h
28 May 2025 10:00 28 May 2025 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.67% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live GRT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading The Graph Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time GRT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.9% Win Rate +121.8% Return -4.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees