Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+70.7%
€10,000 →
€17,073
Win Rate
94.4%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.71%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+66.87%
▲ +3.86
Win Rate
92.3%
▲ +2.09
Sharpe
13.24
▼ -13.24
Alpha vs B&H
+96.75pp
▼ -96.75
Max DD
-1.72%
▼ -3.99
Avg DD
-2.89%
▲ +2.89
Risk / Reward
38.78×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+70.73%
Win Rate
94.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.71%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+25.59%
▲ +45.14
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +19.40
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-3.15%
▼ -2.56
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+13.5
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+4.0
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+12.8
17
+4.4
18
—
19
+2.7
20
+6.9
21
—
22
+4.7
23
-1.7
24
+2.3
25
—
26
+3.0
27
—
28
+3.5
29
+1.3
30
—
31
+4.2
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +70.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 94.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.59% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +4.03% +53.37% 18h
BULL 2 100.0% +8.59% +17.74% 1.9d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 05 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.46 $0.52 +13.51% BUBBLE 9h
09 Jan 2025 21:00 10 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.40 $0.42 +3.95% BUBBLE 12h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.37 $0.42 +12.78% BULL 2.5d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 17 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.42 $0.44 +4.40% BULL 1.4d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.37 $0.38 +2.73% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.35 $0.37 +6.85% BUBBLE 5h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.34 $0.36 +4.72% BUBBLE 1.3d
22 Jan 2025 23:00 23 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.35 $0.34 -1.72% BUBBLE 8h
23 Jan 2025 20:00 24 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.30% BUBBLE 18h
25 Jan 2025 02:00 26 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.96% BUBBLE 1.4d
27 Jan 2025 06:00 28 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.31 $0.32 +3.49% BUBBLE 1.1d
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.30 $0.31 +1.31% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jan 2025 02:00 31 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.32 $0.33 +4.19% BUBBLE 1.5d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
94.4% Win Rate +70.7% Return -5.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees