Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+105.8%
€10,000 →
€20,578
Win Rate
91.7%
14W / 1L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.65%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+108.48%
▼ -2.70
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -8.30
Sharpe
15.67
▼ -15.67
Alpha vs B&H
+132.22pp
▼ -132.22
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.65
Avg DD
-2.69%
▲ +2.69
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+105.78%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.65%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
V2.5.8.3
Return
+39.18%
▲ +66.60
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -8.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.65
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+24.0
5
+15.1
6
+1.7
7
+3.7
8
—
9
+8.7
10
+9.1
11
+2.1
12
—
13
+7.5
14
+4.0
15
—
16
+0.1
17
+1.4
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+7.4
22
—
23
+3.5
24
—
25
—
26
+7.3
27
-0.2
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +105.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.09% on 14 trades, WR 93%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 92.9% +5.09% +98.32% 19h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +24.03% +24.03% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.21 $0.26 +24.03% BUBBLE 23h
05 Feb 2025 10:00 05 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.25 $0.28 +15.06% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Feb 2025 12:00 06 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.25 +1.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 06:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.67% SIDEWAYS 8h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.26 +8.68% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 21:00 10 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.24 $0.27 +9.10% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
11 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.26 $0.26 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 13:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.26 $0.28 +7.48% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.26 $0.28 +3.97% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Feb 2025 19:00 16 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.26 $0.27 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Feb 2025 19:00 17 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.26 $0.26 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.36% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 23 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.25 $0.26 +3.51% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 15:00 $0.21 $0.23 +7.31% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
27 Feb 2025 08:00 27 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
91.7% Win Rate +105.8% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees