Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+74.7%
€10,000 →
€17,473
Win Rate
58.3%
14W / 3L
Trades
17
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.62%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+78.14%
▼ -3.41
Win Rate
82.4%
▼ -24.05
Sharpe
12.57
▼ -12.57
Alpha vs B&H
+94.95pp
▼ -94.95
Max DD
-3.43%
▼ -2.19
Avg DD
-3.90%
▲ +3.90
Risk / Reward
22.77×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+74.73%
Win Rate
58.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.62%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
V2.5.8.3
Return
+37.58%
▲ +37.15
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -41.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.62
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+9.7
3
—
4
-6.3
5
—
6
+5.4
7
+0.7
8
—
9
—
10
+2.6
11
—
12
+11.9
13
—
14
+7.9
15
+0.8
16
—
17
—
18
+14.7
19
+2.7
20
—
21
—
22
+3.9
23
—
24
+4.6
25
—
26
+0.9
27
+0.2
28
—
29
-1.2
30
-2.3
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +74.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.53% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 86.7% +3.53% +65.84% 20h
BEAR 2 50.0% +1.70% +2.78% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.23 $0.25 +9.67% BEAR 22h
03 Mar 2025 22:00 04 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.21 $0.20 -6.28% BEAR 4h
04 Mar 2025 14:00 06 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.20 $0.22 +5.44% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
06 Mar 2025 18:00 07 Mar 2025 17:00 $0.21 $0.21 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 24h
09 Mar 2025 19:00 10 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.18 $0.19 +2.59% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.17 $0.19 +11.90% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
13 Mar 2025 17:00 14 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.19 $0.20 +7.94% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
15 Mar 2025 11:00 15 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.20 $0.20 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Mar 2025 11:00 18 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.20 $0.23 +14.68% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
18 Mar 2025 13:00 19 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 20h
19 Mar 2025 21:00 19 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.21 $0.21 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 09:00 22 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.20 $0.21 +3.94% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 05:00 24 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.20 $0.21 +4.60% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Mar 2025 03:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.21 $0.22 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 4h
27 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.21 $0.21 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Mar 2025 12:00 29 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.19 $0.19 -1.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.19 $0.18 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 15h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
58.3% Win Rate +74.7% Return -5.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees