Paper Trades / LUNA / LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LUNA Terra (LUNA) Paper Trade

LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Terra (LUNA) is the relaunched Terra blockchain that emerged after the May 2022 collapse of the original UST/LUNA ecosystem. The new chain operates without an algorithmic stablecoin and focuses on community-driven development. Trading history starts mid-2022, providing roughly two cycles of post-collapse data. Price action is event-driven and responds heavily to ecosystem milestones.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LUNA Signals →

LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Terra (LUNA) (LUNA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+29.5%
€10,000 →
€12,946
Win Rate
83.3%
10W / 2L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.60%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+34.15%
▼ -4.69
Win Rate
91.7%
▼ -8.37
Sharpe
7.51
▼ -7.51
Alpha vs B&H
+24.41pp
▼ -24.41
Max DD
-5.29%
▼ -0.31
Avg DD
-5.54%
▲ +5.54
Risk / Reward
6.46×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+29.46%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.60%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+31.55%
▼ -2.09
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -16.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.60
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LUNA

LUNA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +66.9%
13t
 		+108.5%
16t
 		+78.1%
17t
 		+34.2%
12t
 		+56.8%
13t
 		+23.7%
10t
 		+54.9%
12t
 		+40.8%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +3,416.5%

All months for LUNA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LUNA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
-10.6
8
+2.8
9
+10.8
10
—
11
+4.1
12
—
13
—
14
+1.1
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
+5.6
20
-0.6
21
+2.4
22
—
23
+4.2
24
+2.0
25
—
26
+0.3
27
—
28
—
29
+2.1
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +29.5%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.18% on 10 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 80.0% +2.18% +22.44% 21h
BULL 2 100.0% +1.19% +2.38% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.15 $0.14 -10.57% SIDEWAYS 6h
07 Apr 2025 19:00 08 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.15 $0.16 +2.81% SIDEWAYS 7h
08 Apr 2025 23:00 09 Apr 2025 23:00 $0.14 $0.16 +10.83% SIDEWAYS 1d
10 Apr 2025 16:00 11 Apr 2025 17:00 $0.16 $0.16 +4.10% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
13 Apr 2025 21:00 14 Apr 2025 13:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 17h
16 Apr 2025 10:00 19 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.15 $0.16 +5.58% SIDEWAYS 2.7d
20 Apr 2025 03:00 20 Apr 2025 05:00 $0.17 $0.17 -0.64% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Apr 2025 18:00 21 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.40% SIDEWAYS 16h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 13:00 $0.17 $0.18 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
24 Apr 2025 02:00 24 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.96% SIDEWAYS 5h
25 Apr 2025 14:00 26 Apr 2025 13:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.28% BULL 24h
27 Apr 2025 15:00 29 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.18 $0.19 +2.09% BULL 1.5d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LUNA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Terra (LUNA) Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LUNA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → LUNA Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +29.5% Return -5.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees