Paper Trades / RSR / RSR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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RSR Reserve Rights Paper Trade

RSR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Reserve Rights (RSR) is the governance and over-collateralization token for the Reserve protocol, which issues asset-backed stablecoins (RTokens). Listed since 2019 with multi-cycle history, RSR price responds to stablecoin-narrative cycles, RToken adoption, and emerging-market currency-debasement themes.

RSR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Reserve Rights (RSR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.24%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+84.99%
▲ +3.57
Win Rate
88.2%
▼ -7.04
Sharpe
13.85
▼ -13.85
Alpha vs B&H
+121.42pp
▼ -121.42
Max DD
-1.17%
▼ -3.07
Avg DD
-3.18%
▲ +3.18
Risk / Reward
72.46×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+88.56%
Win Rate
81.2%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.24%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+37.06%
▲ +51.50
Win Rate
82.4%
▼ -1.20
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.25%
▼ -3.99
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

RSR

RSR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +150.3%
16t
+85.0%
17t
+85.0%
20t
+87.8%
14t
+107.8%
14t
+86.8%
12t
+89.8%
11t
+95.0%
14t
+23,001.1%

All months for RSR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — RSR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
+20.1
5
-0.6
6
7
+8.3
8
9
+8.1
10
+1.5
11
+3.0
12
13
+6.7
14
+3.3
15
16
-1.2
17
+0.8
18
19
20
+13.0
21
22
+1.2
23
24
25
-0.5
26
+4.5
27
+3.4
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +88.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 81.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.43% on 15 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 80.0% +3.43% +64.30% 16h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +20.12% +20.12% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 03:00 04 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +20.12% BUBBLE 22h
05 Feb 2025 10:00 05 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.63% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 16:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.01 $0.01 +8.28% SIDEWAYS 22h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.01 $0.01 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
09 Feb 2025 18:00 10 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 7h
10 Feb 2025 13:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.97% SIDEWAYS 18h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.75% SIDEWAYS 1d
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.30% SIDEWAYS 24h
16 Feb 2025 21:00 16 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.17% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 12:00 17 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.81% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.01 $0.01 +11.80% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Feb 2025 18:00 22 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 25 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.46% SIDEWAYS 6h
25 Feb 2025 19:00 26 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.48% SIDEWAYS 16h
26 Feb 2025 23:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.38% SIDEWAYS 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live RSR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Reserve Rights Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RSR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

81.2% Win Rate +88.6% Return -4.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees