Paper Trades / RSR / RSR — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

RSR Reserve Rights Paper Trade

RSR — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 20 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Reserve Rights (RSR) is the governance and over-collateralization token for the Reserve protocol, which issues asset-backed stablecoins (RTokens). Listed since 2019 with multi-cycle history, RSR price responds to stablecoin-narrative cycles, RToken adoption, and emerging-market currency-debasement themes.

RSR — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Reserve Rights (RSR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
8.68
Alpha vs B&H
+97.99pp
Risk / Reward
12.10×
B&H Return
-12.99%
Max Drawdown
-7.03%
Avg Drawdown
-5.60%
Sharpe Trend
-4.73
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+85.00%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
8.68
Alpha vs B&H
+97.99pp
Max DD
-7.03%
Avg DD
-5.60%
Risk / Reward
12.10×
Trades
20
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+84.41%
▲ +0.59
Win Rate
91.1%
▼ -1.10
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.68
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +97.99
Max DD
-8.69%
▲ +1.66
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+64.30%
▲ +20.70
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +15.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +8.68
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +97.99
Max DD
-0.31%
▼ -6.72
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
24
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

RSR

RSR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +150.3%
16t
+85.0%
17t
+85.0%
20t
+87.8%
14t
+107.8%
14t
+86.8%
12t
+89.8%
11t
+95.0%
14t
+23,001.1%

All months for RSR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — RSR — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+11.6
3
4
-7.0
5
+4.8
6
+1.6
7
+2.1
8
9
10
+3.3
11
12
+14.6
13
14
+3.7
15
16
+0.1
17
+3.2
18
19
+10.6
20
21
-5.3
22
+2.2
23
+0.4
24
25
+17.1
26
27
+6.3
28
+1.4
29
30
+0.9
31
+0.4
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +85.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.65% on 17 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 17 94.1% +3.65% +80.50% 16h
BEAR 3 66.7% +3.14% +8.77% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +11.62% BEAR 16h
$0.00 $0.00 -7.03% BEAR 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.82% BEAR 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.13% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.27% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.33% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.71% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.57% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 -5.30% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.20% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.35% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +17.08% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.34% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.90% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.45% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live RSR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Reserve Rights Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RSR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

90.0% Win Rate +85.0% Return -7.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees