Paper Trades / RSR / RSR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

RSR Reserve Rights Paper Trade

RSR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Reserve Rights (RSR) is the governance and over-collateralization token for the Reserve protocol, which issues asset-backed stablecoins (RTokens). Listed since 2019 with multi-cycle history, RSR price responds to stablecoin-narrative cycles, RToken adoption, and emerging-market currency-debasement themes.

RSR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Reserve Rights (RSR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.85
Alpha vs B&H
+121.42pp
Risk / Reward
72.46×
B&H Return
-36.43%
Max Drawdown
-1.17%
Avg Drawdown
-3.18%
Sharpe Trend
-0.47
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+84.99%
Win Rate
88.2%
Sharpe
13.85
Alpha vs B&H
+121.42pp
Max DD
-1.17%
Avg DD
-3.18%
Risk / Reward
72.46×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+88.56%
▼ -3.57
Win Rate
81.2%
▲ +7.04
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.85
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +121.42
Max DD
-4.24%
▲ +3.07
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.18
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+37.06%
▲ +47.93
Win Rate
82.4%
▲ +5.84
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.85
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +121.42
Max DD
-0.25%
▼ -0.92
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.18
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

RSR

RSR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +150.3%
16t
+85.0%
17t
+85.0%
20t
+87.8%
14t
+107.8%
14t
+86.8%
12t
+89.8%
11t
+95.0%
14t
+23,001.1%

All months for RSR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — RSR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+7.8
4
+3.9
5
+0.6
6
7
+8.3
8
9
+8.1
10
+1.5
11
+3.0
12
13
+6.1
14
+3.3
15
16
-1.2
17
+0.7
18
19
20
+13.0
21
22
+1.2
23
24
25
-0.5
26
+4.4
27
+3.0
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +85.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 88.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.2%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.43% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 86.7% +3.43% +64.29% 15h
BULL 1 100.0% +7.79% +7.79% 8h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +3.94% +3.94% 4h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +7.79% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.94% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.28% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.97% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.12% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.30% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.17% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.80% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.46% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.35% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live RSR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Reserve Rights Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RSR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

88.2% Win Rate +85.0% Return -1.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees