Paper Trades / TON / TON — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TON Toncoin Paper Trade

TON — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Toncoin (TON) is the native token of The Open Network, originally designed by the Telegram team and now developed by an independent foundation. TON benefits from native integration with Telegram's 900M+ user base, driving adoption through wallets, mini-apps, and in-chat payments. Listed since 2021, it has multi-cycle history with sharp narrative-driven moves around Telegram product launches. Volatility tends to spike around regulatory developments tied to the Telegram parent project.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TON Signals →

TON — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Toncoin (TON) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+15.1%
€10,000 →
€11,510
Win Rate
81.7%
13W / 3L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.95%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+15.86%
▼ -0.76
Win Rate
79.0%
▲ +2.75
Sharpe
7.32
▼ -7.32
Alpha vs B&H
+31.50pp
▼ -31.50
Max DD
-2.38%
▼ -0.57
Avg DD
-2.87%
▲ +2.87
Risk / Reward
6.68×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+15.10%
Win Rate
81.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.95%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TON

TON Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +15.9%
19t
 		+18.8%
22t
 		+56.1%
16t
 		+33.8%
18t
 		+34.2%
17t
 		+8.4%
16t
 		+65.0%
19t
 		+36.2%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +838.7%

All months for TON under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TON — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.1
6
—
7
—
8
-4.8
9
+0.3
10
—
11
+5.0
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+7.7
17
—
18
+2.9
19
+2.6
20
—
21
+1.5
22
+1.0
23
+1.4
24
+1.2
25
+0.0
26
—
27
-2.3
28
-0.7
29
+1.2
30
—
31
+1.6
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +15.1%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -3.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.35% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 2 100.0% +6.35% +13.07% 2.5d
BUBBLE 14 78.6% +0.42% +5.83% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 05 Jan 2025 12:00 $5.67 $5.70 +0.07% BUBBLE 3h
07 Jan 2025 19:00 08 Jan 2025 06:00 $5.35 $5.12 -4.75% BUBBLE 12h
08 Jan 2025 19:00 09 Jan 2025 01:00 $5.29 $5.32 +0.29% BUBBLE 7h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 11 Jan 2025 15:00 $5.18 $5.45 +4.97% BULL 2.1d
13 Jan 2025 09:00 16 Jan 2025 05:00 $5.12 $5.53 +7.72% BULL 2.9d
16 Jan 2025 23:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $5.48 $5.65 +2.92% BUBBLE 1.1d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $4.99 $5.14 +2.58% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 21 Jan 2025 10:00 $4.94 $5.03 +1.49% BUBBLE 1.3d
21 Jan 2025 23:00 22 Jan 2025 14:00 $5.21 $5.27 +0.99% BUBBLE 16h
23 Jan 2025 11:00 23 Jan 2025 14:00 $5.09 $5.17 +1.38% BUBBLE 4h
24 Jan 2025 03:00 24 Jan 2025 05:00 $5.07 $5.15 +1.23% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jan 2025 23:00 25 Jan 2025 20:00 $5.07 $5.08 +0.01% BUBBLE 22h
27 Jan 2025 00:00 27 Jan 2025 10:00 $4.91 $4.81 -2.29% BUBBLE 11h
27 Jan 2025 23:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $5.01 $4.98 -0.75% BUBBLE 3h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 21:00 $4.80 $4.87 +1.22% BUBBLE 24h
31 Jan 2025 01:00 31 Jan 2025 17:00 $4.83 $4.91 +1.55% BUBBLE 17h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TON signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Toncoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TON signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TON Signals → View Plans →
81.7% Win Rate +15.1% Return -3.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees