Paper Trades / TON / TON — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

TON Toncoin Paper Trade

TON — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 19 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Toncoin (TON) is the native token of The Open Network, originally designed by the Telegram team and now developed by an independent foundation. TON benefits from native integration with Telegram's 900M+ user base, driving adoption through wallets, mini-apps, and in-chat payments. Listed since 2021, it has multi-cycle history with sharp narrative-driven moves around Telegram product launches. Volatility tends to spike around regulatory developments tied to the Telegram parent project.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TON Signals →

TON — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Toncoin (TON) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+15.9%
€10,000 →
€11,586
Win Rate
79.0%
15W / 4L
Trades
19
Sharpe
7.32
Alpha vs B&H
+31.50pp
Risk / Reward
6.68×
B&H Return
-15.63%
Max Drawdown
-2.38%
Avg Drawdown
-2.87%
Sharpe Trend
-0.01
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+15.86%
Win Rate
79.0%
Sharpe
7.32
Alpha vs B&H
+31.50pp
Max DD
-2.38%
Avg DD
-2.87%
Risk / Reward
6.68×
Trades
19
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+15.10%
▲ +0.76
Win Rate
81.7%
▼ -2.75
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.32
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +31.50
Max DD
-2.95%
▲ +0.57
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.87
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TON

TON Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +15.9%
19t
 		+18.8%
22t
 		+56.1%
16t
 		+33.8%
18t
 		+34.2%
17t
 		+8.4%
16t
 		+65.0%
19t
 		+36.2%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +838.7%

All months for TON under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TON — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.1
6
—
7
—
8
-4.8
9
+0.3
10
—
11
+4.1
12
—
13
+3.3
14
+1.8
15
+2.2
16
—
17
+2.4
18
-1.0
19
+2.6
20
—
21
+1.5
22
+1.0
23
+1.4
24
+1.2
25
+0.0
26
—
27
-2.3
28
-0.7
29
+1.2
30
—
31
+1.6
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +15.9%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 79.0%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.74% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +2.74% +14.48% 17h
BUBBLE 14 71.4% +0.14% +1.78% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.07% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -4.75% BUBBLE 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.29% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.06% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.31% BULL 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.76% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.23% BULL 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.36% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.02% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.58% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.49% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.99% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.38% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.23% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.01% BUBBLE 22h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.29% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.75% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.22% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.55% BUBBLE 17h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TON signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Toncoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TON signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TON Signals → View Plans →
79.0% Win Rate +15.9% Return -2.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees