Paper Trades / TON / TON — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

TON Toncoin Paper Trade

TON — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Toncoin (TON) is the native token of The Open Network, originally designed by the Telegram team and now developed by an independent foundation. TON benefits from native integration with Telegram's 900M+ user base, driving adoption through wallets, mini-apps, and in-chat payments. Listed since 2021, it has multi-cycle history with sharp narrative-driven moves around Telegram product launches. Volatility tends to spike around regulatory developments tied to the Telegram parent project.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TON Signals →

TON — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Toncoin (TON) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+34.2%
€10,000 →
€13,415
Win Rate
82.4%
14W / 3L
Trades
17
Sharpe
11.10
Alpha vs B&H
+31.97pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+2.17%
Max Drawdown
-0.28%
Avg Drawdown
-2.16%
Sharpe Trend
+6.82
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+34.15%
Win Rate
82.4%
Sharpe
11.10
Alpha vs B&H
+31.97pp
Max DD
-0.28%
Avg DD
-2.16%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+39.61%
▼ -5.46
Win Rate
95.0%
▼ -12.65
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.10
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +31.97
Max DD
-4.10%
▲ +3.82
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.16
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open v4.0 page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TON

TON Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +15.9%
19t
 		+18.8%
22t
 		+56.1%
16t
 		+33.8%
18t
 		+34.2%
17t
 		+8.4%
16t
 		+65.0%
19t
 		+36.2%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +838.7%

All months for TON under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TON — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+1.2
8
+3.6
9
-0.2
10
—
11
—
12
+3.1
13
+3.6
14
—
15
—
16
+0.8
17
—
18
+2.8
19
—
20
—
21
+5.7
22
—
23
—
24
+1.3
25
—
26
+1.1
27
+0.0
28
+10.7
29
-0.2
30
+1.0
31
+3.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +34.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 82.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.38% on 11 trades, WR 82%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 81.8% +2.38% +28.89% 13h
BULL 6 83.3% +2.03% +12.73% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.16% BULL 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.58% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.20% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.14% BULL 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.64% BULL 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.85% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.83% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.68% BUBBLE 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.96% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.33% BUBBLE 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.39% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.28% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.05% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.67% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.19% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.03% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.68% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TON signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Toncoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TON signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TON Signals → View Plans →
82.4% Win Rate +34.2% Return -0.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees