Paper Trades / TON / TON — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TON Toncoin Paper Trade

TON — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Toncoin (TON) is the native token of The Open Network, originally designed by the Telegram team and now developed by an independent foundation. TON benefits from native integration with Telegram's 900M+ user base, driving adoption through wallets, mini-apps, and in-chat payments. Listed since 2021, it has multi-cycle history with sharp narrative-driven moves around Telegram product launches. Volatility tends to spike around regulatory developments tied to the Telegram parent project.

TON — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Toncoin (TON) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.27%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+56.12%
▲ +9.11
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
10.68
▼ -10.68
Alpha vs B&H
+29.01pp
▼ -29.01
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.27
Avg DD
-2.31%
▲ +2.31
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+65.23%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.27%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TON

TON Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +15.9%
19t
+18.8%
22t
+56.1%
16t
+33.8%
18t
+34.2%
17t
+8.4%
16t
+65.0%
19t
+36.2%
14t
+838.7%

All months for TON under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TON — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+0.6
7
+2.4
8
9
10
+4.9
11
12
+4.6
13
+1.6
14
+2.9
15
+12.5
16
17
+4.2
18
+1.8
19
20
+2.4
21
22
23
+3.8
24
25
26
27
+8.0
28
29
30
31
+8.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +65.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.46% on 13 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 100.0% +4.46% +75.34% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Mar 2025 01:00 06 Mar 2025 13:00 $3.03 $3.07 +0.64% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Mar 2025 02:00 07 Mar 2025 13:00 $2.97 $3.05 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 12h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 11:00 $2.65 $2.79 +4.89% SIDEWAYS 13h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.50 $2.62 +4.58% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
12 Mar 2025 16:00 13 Mar 2025 14:00 $2.72 $2.77 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 23h
14 Mar 2025 03:00 14 Mar 2025 17:00 $2.79 $2.88 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 15h
15 Mar 2025 11:00 15 Mar 2025 14:00 $2.94 $3.31 +12.45% SIDEWAYS 4h
16 Mar 2025 14:00 17 Mar 2025 02:00 $3.38 $3.54 +4.24% SIDEWAYS 13h
17 Mar 2025 15:00 18 Mar 2025 12:00 $3.47 $3.55 +1.77% SIDEWAYS 22h
20 Mar 2025 11:00 20 Mar 2025 16:00 $3.61 $3.71 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
21 Mar 2025 15:00 23 Mar 2025 00:00 $3.54 $3.69 +3.77% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
26 Mar 2025 14:00 27 Mar 2025 10:00 $3.58 $3.88 +8.02% SIDEWAYS 21h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 31 Mar 2025 15:00 $3.72 $4.05 +8.31% SIDEWAYS 1.6d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TON signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Toncoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TON signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +65.2% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees