Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

ETH — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.90
Alpha vs B&H
+71.25pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-29.17%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-1.40%
Sharpe Trend
+2.84
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+42.08%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
15.90
Alpha vs B&H
+71.25pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-1.40%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+40.96%
▲ +1.12
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.90
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +71.25
Max DD
-3.37%
▲ +3.37
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.40
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+27.83%
▲ +14.25
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.90
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +71.25
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.40
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
+42.1%
14t
+64.0%
19t
+69.3%
12t
+98.5%
17t
+43.2%
14t
+74.4%
11t
+76.3%
13t
+5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+9.5
4
5
+3.1
6
7
8
+0.9
9
+1.1
10
+1.4
11
12
+4.8
13
14
+4.7
15
16
+0.2
17
+3.1
18
19
20
+4.6
21
22
+5.3
23
+0.3
24
25
+3.9
26
27
+0.7
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +42.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.62% on 13 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 100.0% +2.62% +39.68% 16h
BULL 1 100.0% +9.45% +9.45% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +9.45% BULL 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.07% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.44% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.65% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.11% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.57% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.25% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.92% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 14h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +42.1% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees