Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+62.4%
€10,000 →
€16,239
Win Rate
88.9%
16W / 2L
Trades
18
Sharpe
9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+86.97pp
Risk / Reward
27.67×
B&H Return
-24.58%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-3.88%
Sharpe Trend
-16.35
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+62.39%
Win Rate
88.9%
Sharpe
9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+86.97pp
Max DD
-2.25%
Avg DD
-3.88%
Risk / Reward
27.67×
Trades
18
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+60.66%
▲ +1.73
Win Rate
79.2%
▲ +9.69
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +86.97
Max DD
-5.61%
▲ +3.36
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.88
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+53.83%
▲ +8.56
Win Rate
81.8%
▲ +7.09
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +86.97
Max DD
-0.73%
▼ -1.52
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.88
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
22
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+12.4
3
—
4
—
5
+4.3
6
—
7
+3.4
8
0.0
9
—
10
+5.1
11
—
12
+4.5
13
+3.6
14
+4.1
15
—
16
+0.3
17
—
18
+2.6
19
+1.9
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
+2.2
24
+4.5
25
+1.2
26
—
27
+1.0
28
+1.4
29
—
30
-2.3
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +62.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +8.34% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 87.5% +2.15% +40.21% 17h
BEAR 2 100.0% +8.34% +17.21% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +12.40% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.28% BEAR 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.35% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.06% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.45% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.14% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.27% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.57% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.47% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.17% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
88.9% Win Rate +62.4% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees